oooooo

snow inbound!





Edited 1 times. Last edit at 21.03hrs Tue 21 Nov 17 by carsey.

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Should be plenty of snow over he next week with the temperatures dropping more and the 850 uppers into the -4 to -8 region

Called it!

I just wish I could fix my Psoas muscles as fast & my skis....aarrgghhh.....white stuff I need to play....

---That was not a fall, I intended to do that!---

Time for the MOAN......Mother Of All Northerlies!

Would probably turn the whole country white if these charts were to fruition






9 days out..... not too far into the land of white dreams either.







Edited 1 times. Last edit at 22.53hrs Sun 26 Nov 17 by carsey.

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Seems fairly good cross model agreement for the week ahead too, albeit the UKMO which seems to be going off on its own completely different to the others.

ECM +24



GFS +24




Moving onto Tuesday at the +48hr marker we have the following from the models.

ECM +48



GFS +48



As we can see, the colder upper 850s are starting to drop down from the North, By Tuesday lunch, GFS predicts the entire Scottish highland to be under -8c, whilst the ECM keeps them a hundred miles or so further North.



Into Wednesday, at +72hrs we have these.

ECM +72



GFS +72




Again, fairly good agreement between the two, give or take 50miles or so each way. -10c 850 temps to the north of Scotland. Both models agreeing on the -8c uppers across whole of Scotland.

Onto Thursday +96hrs, the charts are very similar to Wednesdays in terms of 500 and 850hpa.

Into the weekend, 850hpa temps should rise a touch to 0c only briefly before the cold drops in again from the north as said in my post above.

I could be wrong with the above, but next week 'should' see a noticeable drop in air temps

winter forecast on netweather is looking very interesting for snowsports in scotland



Be Nice to Skiers, they have it hard enough already

Pinning down whats happening next week would be good first. Options of Mild or a northerly coming down so kind of all up in the air at the minute.

TBH, I thought the resorts would have seen a bit more snow than they have the last week (speaking for Glencoe). They had their couple huge dumps of snow and doesnt seem to have been anything substantial since.

Fingers crossed.

bit surprised lecht has not had enough yet...but today may have sorted that

not surprise about glenshee, northerlies and NWesterlies dont tend to sink far enough south to give glenshee lots of snow

nevis is shut until 21st for maintenance

glencoe getting in this early is a bonus


a wee freeze thaw cycle isnt a bad thing as a good base makes for a long season...no base and things can end very quickly in spring when it warms up



Be Nice to Skiers, they have it hard enough already

They do have enough but the road is closed. Check the Webcam for cover

Spaghetti ensembles looking better this morning... Fort William



Edited 1 times. Last edit at 10.04hrs Fri 1 Dec 17 by awrightski.

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4 day cut off for fantasy island. Sooo much uncertainty

haha i said better not reliable.. the spread over the last few days has been huge!

Think the general trend is colder back end of next week after the brief milder spell start of next.

The critical period next week is Wed/Thurs.

I noticed that the "cliff edge" around 7th Dec has slightly firmed up, with following week chilly.

Agree it's too early to post charts with confidence. But the prospect of a good hill dumping on Thursday, followed by a cold weekend... well, that's the current output.

A snow dump on Thursday would let it get pisted for weekend. In an ideal world.