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Beastie


Posts: 128
Joined: Dec 2013
Last Visited: 09:19
17th May 2020
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 11.19hrs on Sat 23 Feb 19
LBRodders Wrote:
Deibitto Wrote:
Stunning timing of me to book first family ski holiday to Scotland 24 Feb to 3 March. I know highlands are always a risk but come on ...



Whilst not ideal, we are just back from 1/2 term in fort William. We intended to ski but obviously didn't.
We still had a great time, and the kids loved it.
See it as an opportunity to walk some hills, drink some whiskey and eat good food.
The snow will be back!


Indeed - it's always disappointing initially when you can't ski, but a day in the hills sets you right. Pack hiking boots and have a great time.

alan


Posts: 10768
Joined: Nov 1994
Last Visited: 18:32
11th Oct 2024
What's this?What's this?What's this?
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 13.31hrs on Sat 23 Feb 19
Deibitto


Posts: 9
Joined: Dec 2018
Last Visited: 07:32
8th Apr 2021
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 07.46hrs on Sun 24 Feb 19
LBRodders Wrote:
Deibitto Wrote:
Stunning timing of me to book first family ski holiday to Scotland 24 Feb to 3 March. I know highlands are always a risk but come on ...



Whilst not ideal, we are just back from 1/2 term in fort William. We intended to ski but obviously didn't.
We still had a great time, and the kids loved it.
See it as an opportunity to walk some hills, drink some whiskey and eat good food.
The snow will be back!


Oh aye, I was talking a bit tongue in cheek. Had given up on the idea of any sliding for me a couple of weeks back when weather turned. There's plenty to do around Ballater where we're staying. Hope they manage to get the Wren going at the lecht with snow factory stuff again later in week so the little one can at least have a go. But plenty of backup ideas if not.

ColinG


Posts: 84
Joined: Feb 2006
Last Visited: 15:20
12th Feb 2021
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 20.05hrs on Sun 24 Feb 19
All is not lost, thank goodness. E.g.-

htt



Edited 1 times. Last edit at 20.07hrs Sun 24 Feb 19 by ColinG.

Attachments: UKMOPEU12_144_1[1].png (61kB)  
Ad_Hynkel


Posts: 222
Joined: Mar 2010
Last Visited: 12:28
12th Feb 2021
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 09.51hrs on Mon 25 Feb 19
Possibly Monday 4th onwards for something decent? C'mon (back) the snow.

alan


Posts: 10768
Joined: Nov 1994
Last Visited: 18:32
11th Oct 2024
What's this?What's this?What's this?
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 13.04hrs on Mon 25 Feb 19
The first few days of March are going to be pivotal looking at the ensembles. The operational runs are generally heading in a favourable direction, but there is something of a trend in the ensemble sets to rebound the Geopotential heights over and just SE of Southern England.

That means by 7th March there are a cluster of runs that are positive from our perspective and a cluster of runs that are a disaster because they'd pump heat back North over the top of us, re-enforcing the stubborn heights to the SE/E of us causing a polar trough to dig down into the Atlantic. Thus cold air sinks South of our latitude in the middle of the ocean and the further it digs down the longer the Southerly fetch hitting us becomes.

It's an opportunity for a pattern reset and the way this winter has been to date, you'd think that whatever it settles on during the first week in March could well then lock in for the remainder of the month. It will as this winter has been to date, potentially a very fine line between triumph and disaster (yet again)!








Edited 3 times. Last edit at 13.06hrs Mon 25 Feb 19 by alan.

Attachments: GFSP03EU06_252_2.2019.02.25.06.png (53kB)   GFSP08EU06_252_2_2019.02.25.06.png (53kB)  
harley


Posts: 202
Joined: Mar 2010
Last Visited: 18:52
13th Jun 2019
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 19.27hrs on Mon 25 Feb 19
Its all a bit too late.
Ground temps are sky high and many of the punters holidays are over.
Lets hope 2020 makes up for it.

Rich_T


Posts: 48
Joined: Feb 2018
Last Visited: 19:26
5th Jun 2020
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 19.31hrs on Mon 25 Feb 19
harley Wrote:
Its all a bit too late.
Ground temps are sky high and many of the punters holidays are over.
Lets hope 2020 makes up for it.

It is late, yes, but a huge leap to say too late. 1998 and 2012 both had huge late comebacks.

harley


Posts: 202
Joined: Mar 2010
Last Visited: 18:52
13th Jun 2019
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 20.00hrs on Mon 25 Feb 19
Aye,silly me.
Its happened twice in the last 21 years.
Relax everything is going to be fine.
Any tips for the 3.45 at Perth May the 12th ?


Rich_T


Posts: 48
Joined: Feb 2018
Last Visited: 19:26
5th Jun 2020
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 20.25hrs on Mon 25 Feb 19
harley Wrote:
Aye,silly me.
Its happened twice in the last 21 years.
Relax everything is going to be fine.
Any tips for the 3.45 at Perth May the 12th ?

Did I say everything was going to be fine? I don't know what lies ahead in March. I'm just saying it's too early to say it's too late. Perhaps you could give me racing tips, you seem to have crystal balls.

harley


Posts: 202
Joined: Mar 2010
Last Visited: 18:52
13th Jun 2019
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 21.21hrs on Mon 25 Feb 19
(Late Snow) 2.15.
Lets hope we get some skiing before the end of the season.
Just a bit worried by your odds!

growwild


Posts: 3550
Joined: Oct 2005
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 23.15hrs on Mon 25 Feb 19
Feels like autumn noo, winter might pop back for a bit then feck off.

Gotta be at least 250/1 on 'late snow'.. £1000 would probably get ye a decent future earner in aviemore that's been cairngormed if that pony came in...








alan


Posts: 10768
Joined: Nov 1994
Last Visited: 18:32
11th Oct 2024
What's this?What's this?What's this?
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 00.06hrs on Tue 26 Feb 19
harley Wrote:
Aye,silly me.
Its happened twice in the last 21 years.
Relax everything is going to be fine.
Any tips for the 3.45 at Perth May the 12th ?


There's a pretty fundamental flaw in your odds calculation of twice in 21 years. We can't have a spectacular bounce back from no snow in mid season if there is snow in mid season, a very bad first half the season can't come good conditions wise in the second half if it wasn't a bad season to start with.



bigtam


Posts: 7
Joined: Mar 2018
Last Visited: 12:41
27th Mar 2019
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 10.23hrs on Tue 26 Feb 19
Exactly

harley


Posts: 202
Joined: Mar 2010
Last Visited: 18:52
13th Jun 2019
Re: The Mother of all Snow Ramping Threads 2...
Date Posted: 19.20hrs on Tue 26 Feb 19
alan Wrote:
harley Wrote:
Aye,silly me.
Its happened twice in the last 21 years.
Relax everything is going to be fine.
Any tips for the 3.45 at Perth May the 12th ?


There's a pretty fundamental flaw in your odds calculation of twice in 21 years. We can't have a spectacular bounce back from no snow in mid season if there is snow in mid season, a very bad first half the season can't come good conditions wise in the second half if it wasn't a bad season to start with.



How deep is the sand your head is in Alan?
How far away are the straws you are trying to grasp ?
Its too late the punters have gone.


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